Spanish 10year bond yields hit over 7%, the magical number after the downgrade yesterday. Clearly this is unsustainable when coupled with the banking crisis that Spain is also experiencing. Ambrose Evans Pritchard in the The Telegraph discusses the need now for the ECB to enter the scene.
We’re facing maximum tension. The situation is unsustainable over time,” said the country’s finance minister Luis de Guindos. Yields on 10-year Spanish bonds yields punched to almost 7pc, above levels that triggered ECB intervention to back stop Spain last November.
“The ECB needs to intervene very quickly or it is game over,” said Nicholas Spiro from Spiro Asset Management. “There is a whiff of capitulation in the air.”
The dramatic escalation comes just days after the eurozone agreed a €100bn rescue package for the Spanish state to recapitalise its crippled banks. “It is very worrying. Markets are behaving as if the eurozone is heading for break-up,” said Jens Sondergaard from the Japanese bank Nomura.
France’s industry minister Arnaud Montebourg said the markets were flying out of control because the ECB was failing to take charge. “We need an ECB that does its job,” he said.
“We must have a real circuit breaker,” said Sondergaard. “The question is whether the ECB will now blink and go down the route of quantitative easing (QE)”.
He said the ECB should slash interest rates by half a point to 0.5pc and “pre-commit” to half a trillion euros of QE over coming months, blanketing the Spanish and Italian bond markets.
Nomura said the ECB must act with overwhelming force rather than engaging in piecemeal bond purchases that fail to restore confidence and have the toxic side-effects of pushing existing bondholders down the credit ladder — the dreaded effect of “subordination”.
“The eurozone has the wrong policy mix across the board. Fiscal policy is too tight; monetary policy is too tight; and the tough regulation of the banks is coming at the wrong time. Together it is all pushing the eurozone to breaking point,” he said.
Spanish premier Mariano Rajoy said in a private letter to EU leaders last week that the ECB is the only body with firepower and nimbleness able to contain the crisis at this point.
Well, one things for sure, somethings gotta give.